Tennis · Challenger Cali · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna
Team pages: Hugo Dellien · Juan Manuel La Serna
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Dellien
Juan Manuel La Serna
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Dellien
8-2 (W-L)
Juan Manuel La Serna
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Hugo Dellien
2–0
Juan Manuel La Serna
(2 last)
- 17 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 06 Feb2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Dellien 1606 · Juan Manuel La Serna 1524
| Hugo Dellien | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1606 vs 1524).
- Head-to-head: Hugo Dellien 2–0 Juan Manuel La Serna (2).
Statistics
| Hugo Dellien | Juan Manuel La Serna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9 | 12.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 63.2% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Hugo Dellien 2 – 0 Juan Manuel La Serna (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hugo Dellien 2–0 Juan Manuel La Serna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/26 Challenger Santa Cruz | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/02/26 Challenger Rosario | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Facundo Mena Challenger Porto · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Miguel Damas Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Juan Manuel La Serna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Dellien vs Juan Manuel La Serna?
Our model gives 69% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.