Tennis · Challenger Cali · 18/10, 21:30
Prediction: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Mariano Kestelboim
Team pages: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna · Mariano Kestelboim
Prediction summary
Winner
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Mariano Kestelboim
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
4-6 (W-L)
Mariano Kestelboim
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
3–2
Mariano Kestelboim
(5 last)
- 29 Mar0-2 3-12L
- 01 Apr2-0 12-4W
- 01 Dec2-1 15-9W
- 31 Oct0-2 5-12L
- 10 Nov2-1 15-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 1516 · Mariano Kestelboim 1438
| Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | Mariano Kestelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (rating 1516 vs 1438).
- Santiago Rodriguez Taverna is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 3–2 Mariano Kestelboim (5).
Statistics
| Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | Mariano Kestelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.3 | 9.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 29.7% | 64.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 3 – 2 Mariano Kestelboim (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Santiago Rodriguez Taverna 3–2 Mariano Kestelboim
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/25 M25 Lujan | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/04/22 ITF M25 Rosario | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/12/19 ITF M15 Maldonado | 2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 31/10/19 ITF M25 Naples | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/11/18 ITF Argentina F8 | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Nicolas Ciancaglini Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Nicolas Bruna Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Mariano Kestelboim
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 14/04 | Matias Soto Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/03 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Tigre · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/01 | Facundo Mena Challenger Concepcion · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/01 | Mateus Alves Challenger Concepcion · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/11 | Andrea Collarini Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/11 | Juan Pablo Irigoin Challenger Montevideo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/11 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Lima 2 · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Mariano Kestelboim?
Our model gives 68% to Santiago Rodriguez Taverna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.