Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 20/10, 11:00
Prediction: Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon
Team pages: Andrea Pellegrino · Pol Martin Tiffon
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Pellegrino
Pol Martin Tiffon
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Pellegrino
3-7 (W-L)
Pol Martin Tiffon
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andrea Pellegrino
1–0
Pol Martin Tiffon
(1 last)
- 17 Mar2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Pellegrino 1474 · Pol Martin Tiffon 1473
| Andrea Pellegrino | Pol Martin Tiffon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Andrea Pellegrino 1–0 Pol Martin Tiffon (1).
- Note: Pol Martin Tiffon makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Pellegrino | Pol Martin Tiffon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.5 | 10.8-12 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 34.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Andrea Pellegrino 1 – 0 Pol Martin Tiffon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrea Pellegrino 1–0 Pol Martin Tiffon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/26 Challenger Murcia | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Pellegrino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Colton Smith US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/08 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Pol Martin Tiffon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 23/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Tom Gentzsch US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Pellegrino vs Pol Martin Tiffon?
Our model gives 56% to Andrea Pellegrino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.