Tennis · Challenger Lisbon · 18/10, 13:00
Prediction: Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov
Team pages: Joao Domingues · Ivan Gakhov
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Domingues
Ivan Gakhov
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Domingues
3-7 (W-L)
Ivan Gakhov
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joao Domingues
0–1
Ivan Gakhov
(1 last)
- 05 Jul1-2 12-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Domingues 1430 · Ivan Gakhov 1510
| Joao Domingues | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivan Gakhov (rating 1430 vs 1510).
- Ivan Gakhov is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Joao Domingues 0–1 Ivan Gakhov (1).
Statistics
| Joao Domingues | Ivan Gakhov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-13.3 | 11.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 71.4% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Joao Domingues 0 – 1 Ivan Gakhov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joao Domingues 0–1 Ivan Gakhov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/24 ITF M25 Getxo | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Domingues
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Andrej Martin Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/09 | Julien Penzlin M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Goncalo Marques M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Ivan Gakhov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/10 | Joao Dinis Silva Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/09 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 25/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Xavi Palomar M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Domingues vs Ivan Gakhov?
Our model gives 60% to Ivan Gakhov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.