Tennis · W100 Wrexham · 18/10, 17:00

Prediction: Ivana Sebestova vs Andre Lukosiute

Team pages: Ivana Sebestova · Andre Lukosiute

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Ivana Sebestova Andre Lukosiute
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ivana Sebestova 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLWL
Andre Lukosiute 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ivana Sebestova 1474 · Andre Lukosiute 1517
Ivana SebestovaAndre Lukosiute
Our model44%56%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andre Lukosiute (rating 1474 vs 1517).
  • Note: Ivana Sebestova makes many double faults (5/match).
  • Note: Andre Lukosiute makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Ivana SebestovaAndre Lukosiute
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.1-0.9
Games (G-P)9.2-119.6-8.7
Aces1.12.2
Double faults54.4
1st serve %58.8%60.1%
Break %42.7%50.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ivana Sebestova

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Kylie Collins
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
28/09 Emma Slavikova
W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
20/09 Sofia Johnson
WTA Porto · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/08 Sonja Zhenikhova
W75 Bytom
0-2 5-12 L
16/08 Klara Blazkova
W50 Prague
1-2 9-16 L
20/07 Laura Svatikova
W100 Amstetten
1-2 18-18 L
19/07 Anika Jaskova
W100 Amstetten
2-1 15-9 W
13/07 Barbora Michalkova
W75 Olomouc
2-0 13-7 W
24/06 Weronika Falkowska
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
23/06 Anna Kmiecik
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Andre Lukosiute

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Mika Stojsavljevic
W35 Birmingham
0-2 5-12 L
13/10 Clara Vlasselaer
W35 Birmingham
2-1 13-9 W
09/10 Jana Otzipka
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
0-2 10-13 L
08/10 Klara Veldman
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 10-8 W
07/10 Sada Nahimana
W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq
2-0 11-2 W
16/09 Yekaterina Dmitrichenko
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-11 L
13/09 Imogen Haddad
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 7-11 L
12/09 Riko Kikawada
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-0 9-8 W
11/09 Maria Oliver Sanchez
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
10/09 Nanari Katsumi
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivana Sebestova vs Andre Lukosiute?

Our model gives 67% to Andre Lukosiute, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.