Tennis · Challenger Florence · 20/10, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami
Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Jacopo Vasami
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Ribecai
Jacopo Vasami
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai
2-8 (W-L)
Jacopo Vasami
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1471 · Jacopo Vasami 1511
| Michele Ribecai | Jacopo Vasami | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jacopo Vasami (rating 1471 vs 1511).
- Jacopo Vasami is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Jacopo Vasami makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Jacopo Vasami | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.3 | 10.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 40.7% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/09 | Mathys Domenc Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Jacopo Vasami
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Perugia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/05 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/05 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami?
Our model gives 52% to Michele Ribecai, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.