Tennis · Challenger Florence · 18/10, 10:00
Prediction: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Daniel Siniakov
Team pages: Matteo Sciahbasi · Daniel Siniakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Sciahbasi
Daniel Siniakov
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Sciahbasi
3-7 (W-L)
Daniel Siniakov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Sciahbasi 1492 · Daniel Siniakov 1508
| Matteo Sciahbasi | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Daniel Siniakov makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Matteo Sciahbasi | Daniel Siniakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.5 | 12-12.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 65% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Sciahbasi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/10 | Nicolas Ifi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Nikodije Trivunac M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Cosimo Banti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Daniel Siniakov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Jakub Vrba Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 11/10 | Paolo Gabriele Marino Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Vaclav Schneider UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/09 | Lukas Velik UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Thiago Pernas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Sciahbasi vs Daniel Siniakov?
Our model gives 64% to Daniel Siniakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.