Tennis · Challenger Guangzhou · 18/10, 09:30
Prediction: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Fumin Jiang
Team pages: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong · Fumin Jiang
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Fumin Jiang
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
5-5 (W-L)
Fumin Jiang
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 1546 · Fumin Jiang 1451
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Fumin Jiang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (rating 1546 vs 1451).
- Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Fumin Jiang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.7 | 9-11.4 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 65% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 39.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Ye Hongyu Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/09 | Omar Jasika Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Takeru Yuzuki Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
Fumin Jiang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Qian Sun M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Jaesung Choe M15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Roman Sancilio M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Fumin Jiang?
Our model gives 77% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.