Tennis · W35 Qian Daohu · 18/10, 08:30
Prediction: Marika Jones vs Yiru Chen
Team pages: Marika Jones · Yiru Chen
Prediction summary
Winner
Marika Jones
Yiru Chen
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Marika Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Yiru Chen
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marika Jones 1508 · Yiru Chen 1479
| Marika Jones | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Marika Jones makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Marika Jones | Yiru Chen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-9.4 | 7.5-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 51.5% | 53% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marika Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Brandy Walker UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Isabella Crossman UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Gala Arangio UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Norah Davoodi UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | Mingyue Deng UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Emily Robertson UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Emma Tutoveanu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Lucia Donnelly UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Anastasia Grechkina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Yiru Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Daria Egorova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Anna Yang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Meiling Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Doga Turkmen W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Riko Kikawada W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
| 02/09 | Emna Mathlouthi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/09 | Liana Cammilleri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 16/06 | Evialina Laskevich W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marika Jones vs Yiru Chen?
Our model gives 66% to Yiru Chen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.