Prediction: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell
Team pages: Sonay Kartal · Kimberly Birrell
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonay Kartal
Kimberly Birrell
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Sonay Kartal
7-3 (W-L)
Kimberly Birrell
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sonay Kartal
3–1
Kimberly Birrell
(4 last)
- 07 Feb2-0 13-8W
- 06 May2-1 16-13W
- 20 Jun0-2 11-14L
- 13 May2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonay Kartal 1605 · Kimberly Birrell 1535
| Sonay Kartal | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sonay Kartal (rating 1605 vs 1535).
- Head-to-head: Sonay Kartal 3–1 Kimberly Birrell (4).
- Note: Kimberly Birrell makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Sonay Kartal | Kimberly Birrell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.9 | 13-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Sonay Kartal 3 – 1 Kimberly Birrell (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sonay Kartal 3–1 Kimberly Birrell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 WTA Doha | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/05/25 WTA Rome | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/06/24 ITF W100 Ilkley | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/05/22 ITF W25 Nottingham | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonay Kartal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Jasmine Paolini WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Xinyu Wang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Marie Bouzkova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Madison Keys WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Kimberly Birrell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Katie Volynets WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 03/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Maya Joint WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Tamara Zidansek WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Ekaterina Alexandrova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 31/08 | Petra Marcinko US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell?
Our model gives 66% to Sonay Kartal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.