Prediction: Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns
Team pages: Katerina Siniakova · Peyton Stearns
Prediction summary
Winner
Katerina Siniakova
Peyton Stearns
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Katerina Siniakova
4-6 (W-L)
Peyton Stearns
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katerina Siniakova
1–1
Peyton Stearns
(2 last)
- 23 Aug2-1 13-13W
- 29 May0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katerina Siniakova 1481 · Peyton Stearns 1517
| Katerina Siniakova | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (6.4/match).
- Note: Peyton Stearns makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Katerina Siniakova | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.3 | 12.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Katerina Siniakova 1 – 1 Peyton Stearns (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katerina Siniakova 1–1 Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/24 WTA Cleveland | 2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 29/05/23 French Open Women | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 03/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Magda Linette WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Madison Keys WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Qinwen Zheng Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Han Shi WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 02/10 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Sloane Stephens WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Diane Parry WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Emiliana Arango WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns?
Our model gives 50% to Katerina Siniakova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

