Tennis · WTA Osaka · 20/10, 04:00

Prediction: Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns

Team pages: Katerina Siniakova · Peyton Stearns

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Katerina Siniakova Peyton Stearns
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Katerina Siniakova 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLWLWWL
Peyton Stearns 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWWLLW
Head-to-head
Katerina Siniakova 1–1 Peyton Stearns (2 last)
  • 23 Aug2-1 13-13W
  • 29 May0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Katerina Siniakova 1481 · Peyton Stearns 1517
Katerina SiniakovaPeyton Stearns
Our model45%55%
Market55%45%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (6.4/match).
  • Note: Peyton Stearns makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Katerina SiniakovaPeyton Stearns
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.4-1
Games (G-P)10.4-11.312.6-10.9
Aces2.64.1
Double faults6.44.8
1st serve %65%66.3%
Break %41.2%42%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

H2H · Katerina Siniakova 1 – 1 Peyton Stearns (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Katerina Siniakova 1–1 Peyton Stearns

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DateSetsGamesRes.
23/08/24
WTA Cleveland
2-113-13W
29/05/23
French Open Women
0-28-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Katerina Siniakova

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 10-17 L
03/10 Elina Svitolina
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 12-13 L
01/10 Magda Linette
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/09 Naomi Osaka
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 10-17 L
01/09 Elisabetta Cocciaretto
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Madison Keys
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
16/08 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 18-9 W
01/07 Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
29/06 Qinwen Zheng
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-8 W
21/06 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
0-2 8-13 L

Peyton Stearns

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/10 Han Shi
WTA Wuhan · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
02/10 Viktorija Golubic
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
20/09 Iva Jovic
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
19/09 Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/09 Sloane Stephens
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
16/09 Diane Parry
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
13/09 Emiliana Arango
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
31/08 Harriet Dart
US Open Women · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
16/08 Clara Tauson
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 17-15 L
14/08 Harriet Dart
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Katerina Siniakova vs Peyton Stearns?

Our model gives 50% to Katerina Siniakova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.