Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 18/10, 06:10
Prediction: Anhelina Kalinina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Anhelina Kalinina · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Anhelina Kalinina
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Anhelina Kalinina
4-6 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anhelina Kalinina
1–2
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
(3 last)
- 06 Apr0-2 5-12L
- 07 Feb1-2 16-15L
- 04 Apr2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anhelina Kalinina 1467 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1554
| Anhelina Kalinina | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aliaksandra Sasnovich (rating 1467 vs 1554).
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Anhelina Kalinina 1–2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (3).
- Note: Anhelina Kalinina makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Anhelina Kalinina | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.1 | 10.5-6.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Anhelina Kalinina 1 – 2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anhelina Kalinina 1–2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 WTA Linz | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/02/25 WTA Cluj-Napoca | 1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 04/04/22 WTA Charleston | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anhelina Kalinina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Simona Waltert WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Janice Tjen WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Karolina Muchova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Tyra Caterina Grant Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Jana Otzipka Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Emma Navarro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Xinxin Yao WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Junhan Zhang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anhelina Kalinina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 60% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.