Prediction: Dabrowski/Stefani vs Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
Team pages: Dabrowski/Stefani · Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
- 11 Mar1-2 20-20L
- 25 Jan2-0 12-7W
| Dabrowski/Stefani | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dabrowski/Stefani (rating 1641 vs 1585).
Statistics
| Dabrowski/Stefani | Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-9.5 | 14.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 64.5% |
H2H · Dabrowski/Stefani 1 – 1 Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dabrowski/Stefani 1–1 Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 WTA Indian Wells WD | 1-2 | 20-20 | L |
| 25/01/26 Australian Open WD | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dabrowski/Stefani
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Neel/Olmos WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Siniakova/Zhang WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Mertens/Shnaider WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 08/10 | Errani/Paolini WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Eikeri/Gleason WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Tang/Xu WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Rogers/Zamarripa WTA Sao Paulo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 19/09 | Dang/You WTA Sao Paulo WD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 17/09 | Pereira/Souza WTA Sao Paulo WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Tang/Xu WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Jiang/Wang WTA Wuhan WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Perez/Schuurs WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Alexandrova/Stollar WTA Beijing WD · Hard |
2-1 | 23-22 | W |
| 19/09 | Kobori/Plipuech WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-14 | W |
| 17/09 | Kozyreva/Lumsden WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Dolehide/Khromacheva WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Cabezas Dominguez/Gomez Pezuela Cano WTA Guadalajara WD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Siniakova/Townsend US Open WD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Neel/Olmos US Open WD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dabrowski/Stefani vs Bucsa/Melichar-Martinez?
Our model gives 60% to Dabrowski/Stefani, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

