Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 17/10, 10:30
Prediction: Magdalena Frech vs Han Shi
Team pages: Magdalena Frech · Han Shi
Prediction summary
Winner
Magdalena Frech
Han Shi
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Magdalena Frech
4-6 (W-L)
Han Shi
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magdalena Frech 1482 · Han Shi 1564
| Magdalena Frech | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1482 vs 1564).
- Han Shi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Han Shi makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Magdalena Frech | Han Shi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.1 | 13-11.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 28.2% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magdalena Frech
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Iga Swiatek WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Aoi Ito WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Alexandra Eala WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Peyton Stearns WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Renata Zarazua WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Yidi Yang WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Chengyiyi Yuan WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 29/09 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/09 | Tereza Mihalikova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magdalena Frech vs Han Shi?
Our model gives 53% to Magdalena Frech, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.