Tennis · WTA Osaka · 17/10, 04:30

Prediction: Sayaka Ishii vs Elina Avanesyan

Team pages: Sayaka Ishii · Elina Avanesyan

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Sayaka Ishii Elina Avanesyan
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sayaka Ishii 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLWWWLWL
Elina Avanesyan 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sayaka Ishii 1536 · Elina Avanesyan 1531
Sayaka IshiiElina Avanesyan
Our model51%49%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Sayaka Ishii makes many double faults (6/match).
  • Note: Elina Avanesyan makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Sayaka IshiiElina Avanesyan
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay – 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-1
Games (G-P)12.6-1112.3-10.2
Aces2.60.1
Double faults64.6
1st serve %69%61.1%
Break %56.1%57.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sayaka Ishii

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/09 Hiromi Abe
W50 Nanao
0-2 5-12 L
25/09 Rion Itaya
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-2 W
24/09 Natsumi Kawaguchi
W50 Nanao
2-1 18-15 W
23/09 Nagi Hanatani
W50 Nanao
2-0 13-8 W
22/09 Rira Kosaka
W50 Nanao
2-0 12-4 W
18/09 Hiromi Abe
W35 Kyoto
1-2 13-16 L
17/09 Amelia Rajecki
W35 Kyoto
2-1 19-16 W
15/09 Cheuk Ying Shek
W35 Kyoto
2-0 13-10 W
30/08 Urszula Radwanska
W50 Leiria
0-2 9-13 L
27/08 Alice Ferlito
W15 Torello · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L

Elina Avanesyan

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/09 Alina Charaeva
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 Julia Riera
WTA Sao Paulo · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/08 Andrea Lazaro Garcia
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/07 Anna Bondar
WTA Hamburg · Clay
1-2 18-18 L
23/07 Yulia Putintseva
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
21/07 Arantxa Rus
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
20/07 Varvara Lepchenko
WTA Hamburg · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
15/07 Petra Marcinko
WTA Iasi · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
14/07 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Irina Fetecau
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sayaka Ishii vs Elina Avanesyan?

Our model gives 68% to Elina Avanesyan, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.