Tennis · Challenger Roanne MD · 17/10, 11:30
Prediction: De Jonge/Opitz vs Stevenson/Willis
Team pages: De Jonge/Opitz · Stevenson/Willis
Prediction summary
Winner
De Jonge/Opitz
Stevenson/Willis
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
De Jonge/Opitz
7-3 (W-L)
Stevenson/Willis
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · De Jonge/Opitz 1570 · Stevenson/Willis 1519
| De Jonge/Opitz | Stevenson/Willis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours De Jonge/Opitz (rating 1570 vs 1519).
- De Jonge/Opitz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| De Jonge/Opitz | Stevenson/Willis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.3 | 15.2-15.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 80.7% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 29.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
De Jonge/Opitz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Reynolds/Watt Challenger Roanne MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Andreozzi/Guinard Challenger Roanne MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Alves/Gutierrez Challenger Bunschoten MD · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Forcano/Vervoort Challenger Royan MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Henning/Merino Challenger Royan MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Dev/Sinha Challenger Royan MD · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Gomez/Rolland De Ravel Challenger Royan MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/04 | Pokorny/Schell M25 Sharm El Sheikh MD · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/04 | Poritskyy/Ursu M25 Sharm El Sheikh MD · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/04 | Ianin/Stanke M25 Sharm El Sheikh MD · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Stevenson/Willis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Balshaw/Martineau Challenger Roanne MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Cornea/Doumbia Challenger Roanne MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/10 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Rojer/Winegar ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 29/09 | Gonzalez/Jebens ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Peers/Venus ATP Chengdu MD · Hard |
1-2 | 23-24 | L |
| 09/09 | Mansilla Diez/Pereira Challenger Seville MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Doumbia/Reboul US Open MD · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/08 | Balaji/Chandrasekar Challenger Cancun MD · Hard |
1-2 | 21-23 | L |
| 20/08 | Verdugo/Martinez Challenger Cancun MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in De Jonge/Opitz vs Stevenson/Willis?
Our model gives 61% to Stevenson/Willis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.