Tennis · WTA Mallorca · 16/10, 10:00
Prediction: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samsonova
Team pages: Andrea Lazaro Garcia · Laura Samsonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Laura Samsonova
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
5-5 (W-L)
Laura Samsonova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
1–1
Laura Samsonova
(2 last)
- 03 Jun2-0 12-5W
- 28 Sept0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 1565 · Laura Samsonova 1535
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | Laura Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andrea Lazaro Garcia makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Laura Samsonova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | Laura Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.5 | 12.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 59% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 1 – 1 Laura Samsonova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 1–1 Laura Samsonova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/26 WTA Makarska | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09/25 W50 Pazardzhik | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 12/10 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Tian Jialin WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/09 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Angela Fita Boluda WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Laura Samsonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Lucie Nguyen Tan WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Aran Teixido Garcia WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Tolentino · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Samira De Stefano WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Tamara Zidansek US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 04/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samsonova?
Our model gives 51% to Laura Samsonova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.