Tennis · M15 Szabolcsveresmart · 15/10, 11:30
Prediction: Jan Simonsson vs Leyton Rivera
Team pages: Jan Simonsson · Leyton Rivera
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Simonsson
Leyton Rivera
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Simonsson
6-4 (W-L)
Leyton Rivera
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan Simonsson
0–1
Leyton Rivera
(1 last)
- 07 May0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Simonsson 1528 · Leyton Rivera 1478
| Jan Simonsson | Leyton Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Simonsson (rating 1528 vs 1478).
- Head-to-head: Jan Simonsson 0–1 Leyton Rivera (1).
- Note: Leyton Rivera makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Jan Simonsson | Leyton Rivera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.2 | 11.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 58.3% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Jan Simonsson 0 – 1 Leyton Rivera (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan Simonsson 0–1 Leyton Rivera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/24 M25 Varnamo | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Simonsson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Michal Krajci M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 30/09 | Luke Hooper M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Alberto Garcia Garcia M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Falun |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/08 | Niklas Guttau M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/08 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Jack Karlsson Winstrand M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Didrik Liljekvist M15 Malmo |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Isac Stroemberg M15 Malmo |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Leyton Rivera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Peter Sallay M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Evangelos Kypriotis M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kacper Knitter M15 Szczawno |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Andrej Martin M15 Vienna |
1-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Marcel Jelinek M15 Vienna |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Nikita Mashtakov M15 Mistelbach |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Karol Filar M15 Poprad |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/08 | David Bakonyi M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Jesse De Jager M15 Poprad |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 Wels |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Simonsson vs Leyton Rivera?
Our model gives 56% to Jan Simonsson, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.