Tennis · M15 Lexington · 14/10, 15:00
Prediction: Darian King vs Erik Arutiunian
Team pages: Erik Arutiunian
Prediction summary
Winner
Darian King
Erik Arutiunian
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Darian King
6-4 (W-L)
Erik Arutiunian
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Darian King
1–0
Erik Arutiunian
(1 last)
- 22 Sept2-1 18-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darian King 1574 · Erik Arutiunian 1557
| Darian King | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Erik Arutiunian dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 61.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Darian King 1–0 Erik Arutiunian (1).
Statistics
| Darian King | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-7.7 | 10.8-9.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 61.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Darian King 1 – 0 Erik Arutiunian (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Darian King 1–0 Erik Arutiunian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/25 Challenger Las Vegas | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darian King
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Charlelie Cosnet M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Noah Zamora Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Yannik Alvarez Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/06 | Nicholas Gore Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Adrian Quiros Monterrey Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/02 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Erik Arutiunian
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/09 | Nicholas Godsick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sanhui Shin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darian King vs Erik Arutiunian?
Our model gives 57% to Erik Arutiunian, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.