Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 14/10, 12:00
Prediction: Matthew William Donald vs Giovanni Oradini
Team pages: Matthew William Donald · Giovanni Oradini
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew William Donald
Giovanni Oradini
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew William Donald
6-4 (W-L)
Giovanni Oradini
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matthew William Donald
0–3
Giovanni Oradini
(3 last)
- 13 Sept1-2 14-19L
- 11 Feb1-2 13-18L
- 16 Mar0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew William Donald 1543 · Giovanni Oradini 1537
| Matthew William Donald | Giovanni Oradini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Giovanni Oradini dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 51% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Matthew William Donald 0–3 Giovanni Oradini (3).
- Note: Matthew William Donald makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Matthew William Donald | Giovanni Oradini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 12.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Matthew William Donald 0 – 3 Giovanni Oradini (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matthew William Donald 0–3 Giovanni Oradini
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Challenger Biella | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 11/02/26 M15 Oberhaching | 1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/03/22 M15 Sharm El Sheikh | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew William Donald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Marco Furlanetto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/10 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Martin Krumich Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/09 | Carles Cordoba Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Giovanni Oradini Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Giovanni Oradini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Daniel Michalski M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Marco Furlanetto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Kody Pearson Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew William Donald vs Giovanni Oradini?
Our model gives 54% to Matthew William Donald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.