Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 14/10, 08:30

Prediction: Radka Zelnickova vs Alisa Vasileva

Team pages: Radka Zelnickova · Alisa Vasileva

Prediction summary
Winner
76% 24%
Radka Zelnickova Alisa Vasileva
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Radka Zelnickova 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLWLWLWL
Alisa Vasileva 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Radka Zelnickova 1515 · Alisa Vasileva 1447
Radka ZelnickovaAlisa Vasileva
Our model60%40%
Market90%10%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Radka Zelnickova (rating 1515 vs 1447).
  • Radka Zelnickova is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Alisa Vasileva makes many double faults (5.7/match).

Statistics

Radka ZelnickovaAlisa Vasileva
Win %50%20%
Win % · Hard – 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.30.8-1.6
Games (G-P)10.1-9.88.5-11.4
Aces2.50.7
Double faults3.85.7
1st serve %60.8%57.1%
Break %47.1%46.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Radka Zelnickova

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/10 Charo Esquiva Banuls
W35 Baza
0-2 4-12 L
30/09 Carlotta Moccia
W35 Baza
2-1 16-12 W
15/09 Mona Barthel
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/09 Kaja Najzer
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
07/09 Zhibek Kulambayeva
WTA Antalya · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
24/08 Federica Sacco
W35 Trieste
1-2 15-13 L
21/08 Ariana Geerlings
W35 Krakow
0-2 1-12 L
20/08 Polina Leykina
W35 Krakow
2-0 9-1 W
19/08 Amelia Paszun
W35 Krakow
2-1 17-12 W
18/08 Barbara Straszewska
W35 Krakow
2-1 15-7 W

Alisa Vasileva

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Jinte de Boer
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
1-2 11-17 L
07/10 Sarafina Olivia Hansen
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
30/09 Antonina Sushkova
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
13/09 Zi Ye Zhang
W35 Shenyang
0-2 8-13 L
19/08 Yidi Yang
W15 Tianjin
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Maiko Uchijima
W15 Tianjin
1-2 12-10 L
11/08 Sunam Jeong
W15 Tianjin
0-2 1-12 L
02/07 Ilay Yoruk
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
01/07 Nikola Koprivova
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
24/06 Selina Atay
W15 Kayseri · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Radka Zelnickova vs Alisa Vasileva?

Our model gives 76% to Radka Zelnickova, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.