Tennis · M15 Monastir · 14/10, 10:30
Prediction: Mario Arce Fernandez vs Rocco Piatti
Team pages: Mario Arce Fernandez · Rocco Piatti
Prediction summary
Winner
Mario Arce Fernandez
Rocco Piatti
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mario Arce Fernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Rocco Piatti
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mario Arce Fernandez 1505 · Rocco Piatti 1438
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Rocco Piatti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mario Arce Fernandez (rating 1505 vs 1438).
- Mario Arce Fernandez is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Rocco Piatti makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Mario Arce Fernandez | Rocco Piatti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.3 | 8.7-12.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 61% |
| Break % | 52% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mario Arce Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Sebastian Heinrich M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M15 Pontevedra |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Daniel Batista M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/09 | Carles Cordoba M15 Melilla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Melilla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Sander Jong M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Ryan Nijboer M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Boris Butulija M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Rocco Piatti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Eliakim Coulibaly M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Oluwaseun Peter Ogunsakin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Liam Branger M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Tiago Silva M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 13/08 | Robin Bertrand M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 12/08 | Diogo Morais M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 05/08 | Oscar Brown M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Kriish Tyagi M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Henry Jefferson M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mario Arce Fernandez vs Rocco Piatti?
Our model gives 57% to Mario Arce Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.