Tennis · M15 Monastir · 14/10, 12:00
Prediction: Luca Castagnola vs Josh Manuel
Team pages: Luca Castagnola · Josh Manuel
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Castagnola
Josh Manuel
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Castagnola
5-5 (W-L)
Josh Manuel
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Castagnola 1498 · Josh Manuel 1500
| Luca Castagnola | Josh Manuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Luca Castagnola makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Luca Castagnola | Josh Manuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11 | 9.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 41% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Castagnola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Robert Strombachs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/09 | Jan Werblinski M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Fares Zakaria M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jan Hrazdil M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 03/09 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Matic Hribar M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Stefan Popovic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 18/08 | Maximilian Figl M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Josh Manuel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Maxence Rivet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Leandro Zgraggen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 10/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Nav Dayal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Tyler Stice M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Coffi Christian Dhossou M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Louay Makke M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Castagnola vs Josh Manuel?
Our model gives 65% to Luca Castagnola, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.