Tennis · M15 Szabolcsveresmart · 14/10, 10:00
Prediction: Lukas Pokorny vs Aleksander Chayka
Team pages: Lukas Pokorny · Aleksander Chayka
Prediction summary
Winner
Lukas Pokorny
Aleksander Chayka
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lukas Pokorny
7-3 (W-L)
Aleksander Chayka
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lukas Pokorny 1546 · Aleksander Chayka 1432
| Lukas Pokorny | Aleksander Chayka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lukas Pokorny (rating 1546 vs 1432).
- Lukas Pokorny is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Aleksander Chayka makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Lukas Pokorny | Aleksander Chayka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.8 | 10.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 39.4% | 34.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lukas Pokorny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Alex Kobelt M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Radu David Turcanu M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Valentin Vanta M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Dominik Recek M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Aleksander Chayka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Jure Siftar M15 Sibenik |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 22/09 | Jakub Vrtilka M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 05/02 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/02 | Andrey Dvortsov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/01 | Semen Pankin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/01 | Carl Holder M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/12 | Toprak Avcibasi M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/11 | Cyril Vandermeersch M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lukas Pokorny vs Aleksander Chayka?
Our model gives 77% to Lukas Pokorny, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.