Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 14/10, 05:00
Prediction: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov
Team pages: Ilya Ivashka · Marat Sharipov
Prediction summary
Winner
Ilya Ivashka
Marat Sharipov
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ilya Ivashka
8-2 (W-L)
Marat Sharipov
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ilya Ivashka
1–0
Marat Sharipov
(1 last)
- 13 Sept2-1 16-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ilya Ivashka 1630 · Marat Sharipov 1621
| Ilya Ivashka | Marat Sharipov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Marat Sharipov dominates on serve: 11.2 aces and 44.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Ilya Ivashka 1–0 Marat Sharipov (1).
Statistics
| Ilya Ivashka | Marat Sharipov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.6 | 12.3-7.1 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 11.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 80.6% | 80.1% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 44.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Ilya Ivashka 1 – 0 Marat Sharipov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ilya Ivashka 1–0 Marat Sharipov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Challenger Shanghai | 2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ilya Ivashka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 12/09 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Yi Zhou Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Marat Sharipov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jake Delaney Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Zhe Jiang Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Dalibor Svrcina Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Naoya Honda Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Elias Ymer Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov?
Our model gives 51% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.