Tennis · W35 Redding · 14/10, 19:00
Prediction: Kailey Evans vs Lea Ma
Team pages: Kailey Evans · Lea Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Kailey Evans
Lea Ma
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Kailey Evans
6-4 (W-L)
Lea Ma
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kailey Evans 1561 · Lea Ma 1511
| Kailey Evans | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kailey Evans (rating 1561 vs 1511).
Statistics
| Kailey Evans | Lea Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.5 | 10-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 61.7% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kailey Evans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Carmen Andreea Herea W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Alina Shcherbinina W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Hanna Chang W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/09 | Katja Wiersholm UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Kiara Zabkova UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Anya Murthy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/08 | Kelly Keller UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lea Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Hina Inoue W50 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Linea Bajraliu W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Victoria Hu W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Alana Smith WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Granby |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Lizette Cabrera W75 Granby |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kailey Evans vs Lea Ma?
Our model gives 60% to Lea Ma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.