Tennis · M15 Monastir · 13/10, 12:00
Prediction: Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca
Team pages: Alvaro Peiro Serrano · Giovanni Ciocca
Prediction summary
Winner
Alvaro Peiro Serrano
Giovanni Ciocca
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alvaro Peiro Serrano
2-8 (W-L)
Giovanni Ciocca
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alvaro Peiro Serrano 1429 · Giovanni Ciocca 1472
| Alvaro Peiro Serrano | Giovanni Ciocca | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giovanni Ciocca (rating 1429 vs 1472).
Statistics
| Alvaro Peiro Serrano | Giovanni Ciocca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-11.3 | 7.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 54.9% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alvaro Peiro Serrano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Richard Zusman M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Oriol Font M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Sasa Markovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Andrea Pavia M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 7-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Giovanni Ciocca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Gokberk Saritas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Sebastian Gima M15 Arad |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Louis Allen M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Carles Rojas M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Fermin Tenti M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Jose Murariu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Preston Brown M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Giovanni Ciocca?
Our model gives 56% to Alvaro Peiro Serrano, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.