Tennis · W35 Santa Margherita · 13/10, 09:00
Prediction: Chiara Fornasieri vs Federica Bilardo
Team pages: Chiara Fornasieri · Federica Bilardo
Prediction summary
Winner
Chiara Fornasieri
Federica Bilardo
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Chiara Fornasieri
7-3 (W-L)
Federica Bilardo
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chiara Fornasieri 1539 · Federica Bilardo 1438
| Chiara Fornasieri | Federica Bilardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chiara Fornasieri (rating 1539 vs 1438).
- Chiara Fornasieri is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Chiara Fornasieri | Federica Bilardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.4 | 7.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.6% | 53% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chiara Fornasieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Lujza Beviz W15 Szekesfehervar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Anika Jaskova W15 Szekesfehervar |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Lana Virc W15 Szekesfehervar |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Szekesfehervar |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Viola Turini W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Alessandra Fiorillo W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Barbara Dessolis W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Sofia Shapatava W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Michaela Bayerlova W15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Federica Bilardo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Martina Colmegna W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Agnese Gentili W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Celeste Faustini W15 Viserba Di Rimini |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Carlotta Bassotti Others · Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Eleonora Alvisi W15 Fiano Romano |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Julie Pastikova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Iga Piotrowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Dunja Maric W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chiara Fornasieri vs Federica Bilardo?
Our model gives 64% to Chiara Fornasieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.