Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 14/10, 08:00
Prediction: Odysseas Geladaris vs Finn Murgett
Team pages: Odysseas Geladaris · Finn Murgett
Prediction summary
Winner
Odysseas Geladaris
Finn Murgett
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Odysseas Geladaris
5-5 (W-L)
Finn Murgett
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Odysseas Geladaris 1499 · Finn Murgett 1552
| Odysseas Geladaris | Finn Murgett | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Finn Murgett (rating 1499 vs 1552).
- Note: Odysseas Geladaris makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Odysseas Geladaris | Finn Murgett | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.9 | 11.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 54.3% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Odysseas Geladaris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/10 | James McGloughlin M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Targu Jiu |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 11/08 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Ioannis Kountourakis UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Alexandre Verlaguet UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Finn Murgett
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Jakub Filip M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Mathieu Scaglia M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Michael Agwi M25 Setubal |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Diogo Marques M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Miguel Semedo M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Robin Bertrand M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Gian Luca Tanner M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Valentin Vanta M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Odysseas Geladaris vs Finn Murgett?
Our model gives 74% to Finn Murgett, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.