Prediction: Ann Li vs Maria Camila Osorio
Team pages: Ann Li · Maria Camila Osorio
Prediction summary
Winner
Ann Li
Maria Camila Osorio
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li
5-5 (W-L)
Maria Camila Osorio
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ann Li
4–2
Maria Camila Osorio
(6 last)
- 24 Aug2-0 12-3W
- 19 Jan2-1 19-16W
- 23 Oct2-0 13-7W
- 25 Sept1-2 17-20L
- 29 Aug1-2 10-13L
- 24 Oct2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ann Li 1556 · Maria Camila Osorio 1440
| Ann Li | Maria Camila Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ann Li (rating 1556 vs 1440).
- Ann Li is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ann Li 4–2 Maria Camila Osorio (6).
- Note: Ann Li makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Maria Camila Osorio makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Ann Li | Maria Camila Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10 | 10.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 49% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 51% · 1.80
H2H · Ann Li 4 – 2 Maria Camila Osorio (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ann Li 4–2 Maria Camila Osorio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/26 WTA Monterrey | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/01/26 Australian Open Women | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 23/10/25 WTA Guangzhou | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09/25 WTA Beijing | 1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 29/08/22 US Open Women | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/10/21 WTA Tenerife | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ann Li
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Noskova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 31/08 | Antonia Ruzic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Maria Camila Osorio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Katie Volynets WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Tyra Caterina Grant WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Coco Gauff WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ann Li WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Maria Camila Osorio?
Our model gives 59% to Ann Li, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.