Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Jacob Fearnley vs Daniil Glinka
Team pages: Jacob Fearnley · Daniil Glinka
Prediction summary
Winner
Jacob Fearnley
Daniil Glinka
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jacob Fearnley
6-4 (W-L)
Daniil Glinka
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jacob Fearnley 1547 · Daniil Glinka 1552
| Jacob Fearnley | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Jacob Fearnley | Daniil Glinka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-12.7 | 12.7-11.9 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacob Fearnley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Martin Landaluce US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-22 | W |
| 28/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Luka Pavlovic US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Roberto Carballes Baena US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Daniil Glinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/10 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Daniel Jade Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacob Fearnley vs Daniil Glinka?
Our model gives 61% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.