Prediction: Anna Kalinskaya vs Shuai Zhang
Team pages: Anna Kalinskaya · Shuai Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Anna Kalinskaya
Shuai Zhang
Estimated games
20.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Anna Kalinskaya
6-4 (W-L)
Shuai Zhang
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anna Kalinskaya
1–0
Shuai Zhang
(1 last)
- 30 Oct2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anna Kalinskaya 1560 · Shuai Zhang 1468
| Anna Kalinskaya | Shuai Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anna Kalinskaya (rating 1560 vs 1468).
- Anna Kalinskaya is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Anna Kalinskaya 1–0 Shuai Zhang (1).
- Note: Anna Kalinskaya makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Anna Kalinskaya | Shuai Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-11 | 8.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 8.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 44% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8 · Bet365 line 20.5
Over 20.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 48% · 1.83
H2H · Anna Kalinskaya 1 – 0 Shuai Zhang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anna Kalinskaya 1–0 Shuai Zhang
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/25 WTA Hong Kong | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anna Kalinskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Emma Navarro US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Elina Svitolina US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/09 | Xinyu Wang US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Anna Blinkova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Caty McNally WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Diana Shnaider WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Janice Tjen WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 28/07 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Shuai Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Xiyu Wang Asian Games |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yulia Putintseva Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Ann Li WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anna Kalinskaya vs Shuai Zhang?
Our model gives 64% to Anna Kalinskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.