Tennis · Challenger Santa Cruz · 13/10, 16:00
Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
8-2 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1581 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1508
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (rating 1581 vs 1508).
- Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-9.2 | 9.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 66% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 33.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Mateo Del Pino Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 53% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.