Tennis · Challenger Maia · 11/10, 15:35
Prediction: Michael Vrbensky vs Olle Wallin
Team pages: Michael Vrbensky · Olle Wallin
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Vrbensky
Olle Wallin
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Vrbensky
3-7 (W-L)
Olle Wallin
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Vrbensky 1413 · Olle Wallin 1531
| Michael Vrbensky | Olle Wallin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1413 vs 1531).
- Olle Wallin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Michael Vrbensky makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Michael Vrbensky | Olle Wallin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-14.4 | 10.8-11 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 70% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Vrbensky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Patrik Niklas-Salminen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 28/06 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Tiago Cacao Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Pedro Rodenas Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Matthias Ujvary Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Vrbensky vs Olle Wallin?
Our model gives 71% to Olle Wallin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.