Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 11/10, 11:30
Prediction: Matyas Cerny vs Vadym Ursu
Team pages: Matyas Cerny · Vadym Ursu
Prediction summary
Winner
Matyas Cerny
Vadym Ursu
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Matyas Cerny
6-4 (W-L)
Vadym Ursu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matyas Cerny 1519 · Vadym Ursu 1425
| Matyas Cerny | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matyas Cerny (rating 1519 vs 1425).
- Matyas Cerny is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Vadym Ursu makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Matyas Cerny | Vadym Ursu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.5 | 10.6-13.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 66% |
| Break % | 38.6% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matyas Cerny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/10 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | David Petrofsky M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/09 | Johan Nikles Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Filip Misolic Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 28/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Karol Filar M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Milosz Sroka M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
Vadym Ursu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Joao Domingues Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Borna Gojo Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | August Holmgren Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Dev Javia M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matyas Cerny vs Vadym Ursu?
Our model gives 54% to Vadym Ursu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.