Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 13/10, 06:00
Prediction: Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva
Team pages: Pavel Kotov · Vit Kopriva
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Kotov
Vit Kopriva
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Kotov
6-4 (W-L)
Vit Kopriva
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pavel Kotov
0–1
Vit Kopriva
(1 last)
- 13 Feb0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Kotov 1580 · Vit Kopriva 1434
| Pavel Kotov | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Kotov (rating 1580 vs 1434).
- Pavel Kotov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Pavel Kotov 0–1 Vit Kopriva (1).
Statistics
| Pavel Kotov | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.5 | 9.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 32.5% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Pavel Kotov 0 – 1 Vit Kopriva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pavel Kotov 0–1 Vit Kopriva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/23 Challenger Manama | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Kotov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Arthur Fils ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Martin Damm ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 23/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Luca Castelnuovo ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 20/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Vit Kopriva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jia Hu ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Kotov vs Vit Kopriva?
Our model gives 68% to Pavel Kotov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.