Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 11/10, 11:30
Prediction: Ajeet Rai vs Jake Delaney
Team pages: Ajeet Rai · Jake Delaney
Prediction summary
Winner
Ajeet Rai
Jake Delaney
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ajeet Rai
3-7 (W-L)
Jake Delaney
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ajeet Rai
5–1
Jake Delaney
(6 last)
- 23 Nov2-0 13-9W
- 21 Jun0-2 9-13L
- 22 Feb2-1 13-11W
- 13 Dec2-0 12-7W
- 25 Nov2-0 12-4W
- 24 Oct2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ajeet Rai 1475 · Jake Delaney 1499
| Ajeet Rai | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ajeet Rai 5–1 Jake Delaney (6).
- Note: Ajeet Rai makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ajeet Rai | Jake Delaney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.1 | 11.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 12 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 80.8% |
| Break % | 21.8% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Ajeet Rai 5 – 1 Jake Delaney (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ajeet Rai 5–1 Jake Delaney
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/24 ITF M25 Caloundra | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06/24 ITF M15 Hong Kong | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/02/23 ITF M25 Swan Hill | 2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/12/22 ITF M15 Wellington | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/11/22 ITF M25 Traralgon | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/10/22 Challenger Playford | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ajeet Rai
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Lukas Pokorny M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/04 | Tomas Lanik M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/04 | Petr Kapuskin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/03 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Launceston |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
Jake Delaney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/10 | Harrison Satara M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Derek Pham M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Lachlan Vickery M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Taro Daniel ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Hikaru Shiraishi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ajeet Rai vs Jake Delaney?
Our model gives 66% to Jake Delaney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.