Prediction: Clara Tauson vs Marie Bouzkova
Team pages: Clara Tauson · Marie Bouzkova
Prediction summary
Winner
Clara Tauson
Marie Bouzkova
Estimated games
23.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Clara Tauson
3-7 (W-L)
Marie Bouzkova
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Clara Tauson
1–0
Marie Bouzkova
(1 last)
- 17 Sept2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Clara Tauson 1440 · Marie Bouzkova 1536
| Clara Tauson | Marie Bouzkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marie Bouzkova (rating 1440 vs 1536).
- Marie Bouzkova is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Clara Tauson 1–0 Marie Bouzkova (1).
- Note: Clara Tauson makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Clara Tauson | Marie Bouzkova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-14.1 | 12.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.8
Over 20.5: 69% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 31% · 1.83
H2H · Clara Tauson 1 – 0 Marie Bouzkova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Clara Tauson 1–0 Marie Bouzkova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/21 WTA Luxembourg | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Clara Tauson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Sloane Stephens US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Renata Zarazua WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 18/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Marie Bouzkova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 03/10 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Sonay Kartal Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 05/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Elsa Jacquemot US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Clara Tauson vs Marie Bouzkova?
Our model gives 65% to Marie Bouzkova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.