Prediction: Belinda Bencic vs Shuai Zhang
Team pages: Belinda Bencic · Shuai Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Belinda Bencic
Shuai Zhang
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Belinda Bencic
8-2 (W-L)
Shuai Zhang
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Belinda Bencic
1–0
Shuai Zhang
(1 last)
- 25 Aug2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belinda Bencic 1540 · Shuai Zhang 1474
| Belinda Bencic | Shuai Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belinda Bencic (rating 1540 vs 1474).
- Belinda Bencic is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Belinda Bencic 1–0 Shuai Zhang (1).
- Note: Belinda Bencic makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Belinda Bencic | Shuai Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.1 | 8.8-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.4
Over 19.5: 59% · 2.00
Under 19.5: 41% · 1.72
H2H · Belinda Bencic 1 – 0 Shuai Zhang (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belinda Bencic 1–0 Shuai Zhang
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/25 US Open Women | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belinda Bencic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Ann Li WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/09 | Yulia Putintseva US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Taylor Townsend WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 05/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Kalinskaya Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/07 | Xinyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Shuai Zhang
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Xiyu Wang Asian Games |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Yulia Putintseva Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Ann Li WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Kayla Day WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belinda Bencic vs Shuai Zhang?
Our model gives 70% to Belinda Bencic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.