Prediction: Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng
Team pages: Ann Li · Qinwen Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Ann Li
Qinwen Zheng
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ann Li
5-5 (W-L)
Qinwen Zheng
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ann Li 1547 · Qinwen Zheng 1601
| Ann Li | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Qinwen Zheng (rating 1547 vs 1601).
- Qinwen Zheng dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Note: Ann Li makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ann Li | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10 | 13.7-12.2 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2
Over 20.5: 64% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 36% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Belinda Bencic WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Linda Noskova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/09 | Donna Vekic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 31/08 | Antonia Ruzic US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Diane Parry WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Alina Charaeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/10 | Han Shi WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Jasmine Paolini Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Madison Keys US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Yulia Putintseva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ann Li vs Qinwen Zheng?
Our model gives 63% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.