Tennis · UTR Pro Boca Raton · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Antonin Chapuis vs James Newton

Team pages: Antonin Chapuis · James Newton

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Antonin Chapuis James Newton
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Antonin Chapuis 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWLLWWW
James Newton 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Antonin Chapuis 1512 · James Newton 1587
Antonin ChapuisJames Newton
Our model39%61%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Newton (rating 1512 vs 1587).
  • James Newton is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Antonin ChapuisJames Newton
Win %50%80%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 80% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.6-0.5
Games (G-P)12.2-1110.9-8
Aces1.21.4
Double faults2.73.4
1st serve %63.7%62.7%
Break %46.2%52%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antonin Chapuis

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/10 Ashton Mcleod
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-1 17-11 W
08/10 Alexandre Bergeron
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/10 Roman Venger
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
06/10 Robert Watzka
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
05/10 Stepan Mruzek
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/03 Gordon Gallagher
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/03 Patricio Alvarado
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
24/03 Junior T Pichardo
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-1 19-18 W
23/03 Avner Wong
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
1-2 14-14 L
06/11 Tanapatt Nirundorn
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
1-2 13-15 L

James Newton

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/10 Timeo Gaillard
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
08/10 Marc Van Der Merwe
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
07/10 Mark Havlicek
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-1 19-15 W
06/10 Alexandre Bergeron
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/10 Raul Garcia
UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
03/06 Marcus Schoeman
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
02/06 Omar Jasika
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
01/06 Brendan Loh
UTR Pro Gold Coast · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
22/05 Cooper Johnson
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
22/05 Tygen Goldammer
UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antonin Chapuis vs James Newton?

Our model gives 64% to James Newton, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.