Tennis · WTA Wuhan · 10/10, 09:30

Prediction: Maria Camila Osorio vs Lin Zhu

Team pages: Maria Camila Osorio · Lin Zhu

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Maria Camila Osorio Lin Zhu
Estimated games
21.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Camila Osorio 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWLLWL
Lin Zhu 6-4 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maria Camila Osorio 1457 · Lin Zhu 1463
Maria Camila OsorioLin Zhu
Our model49%51%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Maria Camila Osorio makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Maria Camila OsorioLin Zhu
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 33% (9) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.1-1.2
Games (G-P)10.1-12.29.9-10.5
Aces1.81.4
Double faults61.8
1st serve %62.1%61.6%
Break %41.6%47.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 48% · 1.90 Under 21.5: 52% · 1.80

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maria Camila Osorio

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/10 Coco Gauff
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 14-17 L
01/10 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
31/08 Aryna Sabalenka
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/08 Ann Li
WTA Monterrey · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
13/08 Taylor Townsend
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
04/08 Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA Toronto · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
02/08 Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Toronto · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
29/07 Anastasia Zakharova
WTA Memphis · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Storm Hunter
WTA Memphis · Hard
2-0 14-10 W
02/07 Linda Noskova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 11-16 L

Lin Zhu

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/10 Donna Vekic
WTA Beijing · Hard
1-2 9-16 L
01/10 Alycia Parks
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/08 Angela Fita Boluda
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
11/08 Lilli Tagger
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 8-15 L
01/08 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Toronto · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
25/06 Teodora Kostovic
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Mona Barthel
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
15/06 Katerina Siniakova
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Sinja Kraus
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maria Camila Osorio vs Lin Zhu?

Our model gives 59% to Maria Camila Osorio, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.