Prediction: Magdalena Frech vs Moyuka Uchijima
Team pages: Magdalena Frech · Moyuka Uchijima
Prediction summary
Winner
Magdalena Frech
Moyuka Uchijima
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Magdalena Frech
6-4 (W-L)
Moyuka Uchijima
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magdalena Frech 1504 · Moyuka Uchijima 1462
| Magdalena Frech | Moyuka Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Magdalena Frech (rating 1504 vs 1462).
- Note: Moyuka Uchijima makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Magdalena Frech | Moyuka Uchijima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.3 | 11.5-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 52% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 48% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magdalena Frech
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/09 | Iva Jovic WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Elena Rybakina WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Moyuka Uchijima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Yeon Woo Ku Asian Games |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Lucie Havlickova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Polona Hercog US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magdalena Frech vs Moyuka Uchijima?
Our model gives 63% to Magdalena Frech, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.