Tennis · M15 Pontevedra · 09/10, 12:00
Prediction: Andrea Bacaloni vs Alejandro Garcia
Team pages: Andrea Bacaloni · Alejandro Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Bacaloni
Alejandro Garcia
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Bacaloni
4-6 (W-L)
Alejandro Garcia
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Bacaloni 1505 · Alejandro Garcia 1558
| Andrea Bacaloni | Alejandro Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Garcia (rating 1505 vs 1558).
Statistics
| Andrea Bacaloni | Alejandro Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-9 | 11.1-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Bacaloni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Tanguy Genier M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Javier Munoz Fuster M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Jordan Hasson M15 Baku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Karol Filar M15 Baku |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Aditya Kothari M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Kevin Edengren M15 Bastad · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Alejandro Garcia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Gerard Campana Lee M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Luis Garcia Paez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexander Petrov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 09/09 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Ivan Lopez Martos M25 Gijon |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Xavi Palomar M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Bacaloni vs Alejandro Garcia?
Our model gives 58% to Alejandro Garcia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.