Tennis · M25 Kigali · 09/10, 11:30
Prediction: Max Houkes vs Alec Beckley
Team pages: Max Houkes · Alec Beckley
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Houkes
Alec Beckley
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes
8-2 (W-L)
Alec Beckley
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Max Houkes
1–0
Alec Beckley
(1 last)
- 02 Oct2-1 17-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1596 · Alec Beckley 1542
| Max Houkes | Alec Beckley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Houkes (rating 1596 vs 1542).
- Max Houkes is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Max Houkes 1–0 Alec Beckley (1).
Statistics
| Max Houkes | Alec Beckley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (4) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-6.7 | 12.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 69% |
| Break % | 70.2% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Max Houkes 1 – 0 Alec Beckley (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Houkes 1–0 Alec Beckley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/26 M25 Kigali | 2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Houkes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Allan Gatoto M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Darrshan Suresh M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/09 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Mehdi Benchakroun M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Alec Beckley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Yshai Oliel M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Axel Nefve M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Niklas Grunewald M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Axel Nefve M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/08 | Gregor Hausberger M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Noel Larwig M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Andrej Martin Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs Alec Beckley?
Our model gives 72% to Max Houkes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.