Tennis · Challenger Braga MD · 09/10, 12:00
Prediction: Bass/Duncan vs Cervantes/Molchanov
Team pages: Bass/Duncan · Cervantes/Molchanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Bass/Duncan
Cervantes/Molchanov
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Bass/Duncan
6-4 (W-L)
Cervantes/Molchanov
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Bass/Duncan
0–1
Cervantes/Molchanov
(1 last)
- 09 Sept1-2 13-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bass/Duncan 1487 · Cervantes/Molchanov 1595
| Bass/Duncan | Cervantes/Molchanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cervantes/Molchanov (rating 1487 vs 1595).
- Cervantes/Molchanov is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Bass/Duncan 0–1 Cervantes/Molchanov (1).
Statistics
| Bass/Duncan | Cervantes/Molchanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.6 | 13-10 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.7% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Bass/Duncan 0 – 1 Cervantes/Molchanov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bass/Duncan 0–1 Cervantes/Molchanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/26 Challenger Seville MD | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bass/Duncan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Cacao/Rocha Challenger Braga MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Poling/Sheehy Challenger Mouilleron le Captif MD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-21 | L |
| 02/10 | Bittoun Kouzmine/Visker Challenger Mouilleron le Captif MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Neuchrist/Poljak Challenger Mouilleron le Captif MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/09 | Liutarevich/Paris Challenger Rennes MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Cervantes/Molchanov Challenger Seville MD · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Hands/Summers Challenger Roehampton MD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Hands/Summers Challenger Roehampton MD · Hard |
1-2 | 13-20 | L |
| 18/08 | Frydrych/Stephens Challenger Roehampton MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Chandrasekar/Yuzuki Challenger Nottingham MD · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Cervantes/Molchanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Jecan/Kielan Challenger Braga MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/09 | Niklas-Salminen/Vrbensky Challenger Genoa MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 25/09 | Broska/Oradini Challenger Genoa MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Bianchi/Pearson Challenger Genoa MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Paulson/Pereira Challenger Szczecin MD · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger Szczecin MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/09 | Sachko/Vrbensky Challenger Szczecin MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Knitter/Sterniczuk Challenger Szczecin MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Barrientos/Kestelboim Challenger Seville MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Kielan/Vliegen Challenger Seville MD · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bass/Duncan vs Cervantes/Molchanov?
Our model gives 62% to Cervantes/Molchanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.