Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 09/10, 10:00
Prediction: Amit Vales vs Nikita Belozertsev
Team pages: Amit Vales · Nikita Belozertsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Amit Vales
Nikita Belozertsev
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Amit Vales
8-2 (W-L)
Nikita Belozertsev
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amit Vales 1550 · Nikita Belozertsev 1535
| Amit Vales | Nikita Belozertsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amit Vales makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Amit Vales | Nikita Belozertsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.4-11.8 | 9.6-7.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amit Vales
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/10 | Jiri Cizek M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Mathieu Scaglia Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/08 | Vardan Manukyan Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/08 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Turku |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Turku |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Dimitris Azoidis M15 Turku |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Vesa Ahti M15 Turku |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Zach Stephens M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Nikita Belozertsev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Georgios Dimitriou M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/09 | Marko Topo M25 Zlatibor |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Marko Nikolic M25 Zlatibor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Mate Valkusz M15 Budapest |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/09 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Chris Spyrou M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amit Vales vs Nikita Belozertsev?
Our model gives 54% to Amit Vales, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.