Tennis · Challenger Antofagasta · 08/10, 15:00
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Team pages: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
7-3 (W-L)
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
4–1
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
(5 last)
- 30 Sept2-1 16-12W
- 24 Sept2-1 15-10W
- 06 May2-1 19-17W
- 24 Feb2-0 12-5W
- 02 Nov1-2 14-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1542 · Joao Lucas Reis da Silva 1538
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 4–1 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva (5).
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.1 | 10.6-9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 4 – 1 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 4–1 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/26 Challenger Curitiba | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/09/25 Challenger Buenos Aires | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 06/05/23 Challenger Coquimbo | 2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 24/02/21 M15 Antalya | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/11/18 ITF Brazil F7 | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Remy Bertola Davis Cup |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Alex Molcan Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Joao Lucas Reis da Silva?
Our model gives 58% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.