Prediction: Aleksandr Braynin vs Julien Penzlin
Team pages: Aleksandr Braynin · Julien Penzlin
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandr Braynin
Julien Penzlin
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandr Braynin
7-3 (W-L)
Julien Penzlin
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandr Braynin 1456 · Julien Penzlin 1520
| Aleksandr Braynin | Julien Penzlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julien Penzlin (rating 1456 vs 1520).
- Julien Penzlin is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Julien Penzlin makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandr Braynin | Julien Penzlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.1 | 11.7-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 31.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandr Braynin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Hugo Cardinaud M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Wojciech Marek M25 Falun |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 06/09 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Heorhii Shylov M15 Vienna |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Paul Schmid M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Julien Penzlin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Joao Domingues M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Francisco Rocha M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Pieter De Lange M15 Haren |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Mac Visser M15 Haren |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Frankfurt |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Arthur Bonnaud M15 Frankfurt |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandr Braynin vs Julien Penzlin?
Our model gives 57% to Julien Penzlin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.