Prediction: Alexandre Reco vs Jelle Sels
Team pages: Alexandre Reco · Jelle Sels
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandre Reco
Jelle Sels
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandre Reco
5-5 (W-L)
Jelle Sels
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandre Reco 1544 · Jelle Sels 1470
| Alexandre Reco | Jelle Sels | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandre Reco (rating 1544 vs 1470).
Statistics
| Alexandre Reco | Jelle Sels | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.1 | 11.9-13.8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 44% | 29% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandre Reco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Romain Andres M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 29/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/09 | Justin Boulais Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/09 | Aidan Mchugh M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Etienne Donnet M25 Nevers |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Damien Clerc M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Melvin Kumar M25 Nevers |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Samir Banerjee M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Raphael Perot M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Jelle Sels
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Thomas Gerbaud M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/09 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/08 | David Poljak Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Pieter De Lange M25 Oldenzaal |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Abel Forger M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandre Reco vs Jelle Sels?
Our model gives 59% to Alexandre Reco, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.